3.6

1. Who made up the "universe" or polling population of this particular poll?
Voters in Nevada. 

2. If 25% of people say they are supporting Bernie Sanders and the sampling error is 4.8%, what is the actual range of Sanders's support?
Between 20.2% and 29.8%

3. Using the margin of error, describe a possible scenario in which Sanders would not win, but still fits the polls data.
Bernie Sanders gets 20.2% of the vote, while Joe Biden gets 22.8% of the vote.

4. What were the results found in earlier polls taken in Nevada this year?
Before, results from Nevada showed Biden and Sanders about equal. 

5. What changes took place in Nevada's candidate selection after 2004?
The state switched from primaries to caucuses. 

6. Why does FiveThirtyEight say that it's harder to poll people in Nevada?
It's harder to talk to people because there are people who work odd hours and a transient population.




7. Why is it easier to poll the Iowa caucuses than the Nevada caucuses?
Iowa's caucuses are much older, so pollsters have more data there to accurately weigh different responses. 

8. How does Nevada allow early voting if this is a caucus instead of a primary?
They instituted a 4-day early voting period that attempts to model caucusing by using a system modeled on ranked-choice voting. 

9. Why does Nevada have a fluctuating population?
Nevada's population fluctuates due to casinos and tourism. 

10. Why is conducting a poll so much more expensive if you want to have an accurate Nevada poll?

Pollers have to collect data 24/7 because shifts take place over a 24 hour business day. 

3.5

1.  What was Lt Colonol Alexander Vindman's job in the bureaucracy?
He was a top Ukraine expert on the National Security Council.

2. What did Vindman testify during the impeachment investigation?

He testified that he found the call inappropriate and that he thought it was improper for the POTUS to demand Ukraine to investigate Hunter Biden.

3. What did the White House do to Vindman and his brother?

They removed him from his post in the White House. His twin brother was also reassigned.

4. How is the White House justifying this action?

They are framing this not as payback as Vindman but as shrinking of the NSC staff.

5. Why does the author argue that this creates a danger for other civil servants?

Trump may not stop at Vindman and may oust other officials who testified him. This might mean officials will be more fearful to speak out or testify against the president in the future.

6. What was Gordon Sondland's job in the Trump Administration? 

He was the ambassador to the EU.

7. What did Ambassador Sondland testify during the impeachment investigation?

He said there was a quid pro quo, and he also made it clear that the scheme to pressure Ukraine was not done by Guiliani alone. He provided extensive documentation. 

8. What was Sondland's background before becoming the ambassador?

Formerly, he was a Trump supporter. 

9. Who else might the Trump Administration take action against, according to this article?

He might pressure Secretary of State Pompeo to push out George Ken tor get Defense Secretary Mark Esper to kick out Laura Cooper. 

3.4

1.What's the difference between Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the primary calendar?
Phase 1 is just the 4 early states in February, which have an extraordinary impact on the race's overall narrative. Phase 2 is the briefest (March 1-17), where more than half the delegates will be locked down. 

2. Which four states get to vote first, separated roughly into one each week?
Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina

3. There are few delegates available in these four states, why are the primaries so important?
The political world looks at these results and takes them as cues about which contenders actually win. 

4. How many delegates are available in Phase 2?
more than half of 3979

5. Which regions are holding most of their primaries on Super Tuesday?
South, New England, West, Midwest

6. How many primaries are held the following week on March 10? And how many on March 17? 
7 primaries, 3 primaries

7. What is different about the California primary this year?
California moved from an early June to Super Tuesday. 

8. Why is Phase 3 less important than 1 and 2?
The nomination could be settled before this due to candidate dropouts, but there's a gap between April 7 and April 28. 

9. What is one argument in favor of letting Iowa and New Hampshire (small states) go first?
It lets lesser-known candidates make their case in a smaller, more manageable setting. 

10. How does the Democratic Party way of distributing delegates make this system even slower?
They allot delegates proportionally, with no winner-take-all contests. 

3.3

1. The seven most recent polls they looked at measured opinion about last weekend (Those covering Jan 19 in the polling dates).  How many showed more support for removing Trump than opposition for removing Trump? 
All of them showed more support for removing Trump than opposition for removing Trump.

2. Which of these 7 polls found the most support for removing Trump? Which found the most opposition to removing Trump?
FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos and Monmouth, respectively. 

3. In FiveThirtyEight's polling average, what percentage of Democrats support removing Trump from office? What percentage of Republicans support removing Trump from office?
83.9% and 8.4%, respectively. 

4. What difference did the most recent Monmouth University poll find in the people who say they support removing Trump from office and those who support the House impeaching Trump?
People were evenly divided on whether to remove Trump, but people approved of the House's decision to impeach him. (49/48 to 53/46).

5. Why does the author suggest that some Republicans may support removing Trump from office?
They might believe Vice President Pence would make a better president. 

6. Why might the polls be misleading if they survey all adults as opposed to just likely voters?
The people who end up voting tend to be a tad more Republican than the adult population. 

7. How do men and women think differently about whether or not a woman candidate can win a presidential election?
89% of men said a woman could get elected while 9% disagreed. 79% of women said a woman could get elected while 20$ disagreed.

8. Which demographic group of people caused the Atlanta Journal Constitution to adjust its polling formulas? 
Underrepresented white voters without a college degree.

9. Related to issues we were discussing last week, how do Americans feel about the Supreme Court potentially overturning Roe v Wade?
69% of people don't want Roe v. Wade to be overturned.