Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Blog 2.4

1. How much has Trump spent advertising on Facebook about the impeachment process?
$1.6 million.

2. Which voters is he targeting his ads towards?
He's targeting his base rather than persuading voters who live in the states that will decide 2020.

3. What are the ads about?
They're reinforcing the narrative cycle that impeachment is a political plot against the president by Democrats.

4. How much did political groups spend on advertising on Facebook in the 2018 elections?
$284 million.

5. What percentage of Trump's advertising is about the impeachment?
30%

6. What age groups is Trump targeting with this advertising?
The vast majority is aimed at people over the age of 35, particularly those 65 and older.

7. Where is Trump avoiding using these ads?
He's not focusing impeachment ads at voters in the states that helped him win in 2016, such as Wisconsin and Michigan.

8. What impact are these ads having on other Republicans?
It gives Trump more potential donations and backers to volunteer for the campaign. They also puts pressure on Republicans to hold the line.

9. How does Trump's campaign money compare to his potential Democratic opponents?
Donald Trump has raised much more money than the Democratic candidates.

10. What states is Elizabeth Warren targeting with Facebook ads and why is she choosing these?
PA, NC, AZ, MI, WI. 

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Blog Post 2.3

1. What changed about Virginia's government in last week's elections?
Democrats took control of both state's legislative bodies.

2. What would the Equal Rights Amendment proposed in 1972 do?
It would grant equal rights regardless of sex.

3. How many states ratified the amendment when it was originally proposed?  What states have ratified it recently?
35 did it rapidly while Nevada and Illinois ratified it recently.

4. According to the constitution, why is it necessary to have a 38th state ratify the amendment?
3/4 of the states need to ratify an amendment before it becomes law, which translates to 38 states.

5. What stipulation for its ratification did Congress add to the proposal in the 1970s?
They made it so that it would take effect two years after ratification and have 7 years for a deadline.

6. How did the Virginia legislature vote on ratification of the ERA last year?  
They rejected it.

7. How can Congress change the ratification deadline from 1982 to now?
They could just vote to change the previous deadline.

8. How does the 27th Amendment provide an example that this amendment could be ratified now?
The Madison Amendment was stalled for 190 years.

Blog Post 2.2

1. Why is the Liberty and Justice Celebration dinner important to candidates?
It's the largest gathering of voters in Iowa, so it provides the opportunity for candidates to gain support (solidify momentum or reenergize their base).

2. What percentage of voters still consider themselves undecided?  What percentage of voters are currently certain of their choice in candidates?
29% are undecided, 20% know for certain.

3. Which candidates are seeing an increase in support? Which candidates are seeing a decrease in support?
Increase: Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg
Decrease: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders

4. What message does Pete Buttigieg use to try to stand out to voters?
He cemented his position as a centrist in contrast to Warren.

5. What message does Elizabeth Warren use to try to stand out to voters?
She sought to remind voters about her ideas, arguing progressive policies were the way to energize voters.

6. What does Bernie Sanders do differently than all of the other Democratic candidates?
He doesn't attack other opponents, and he didn't buy any seating for his supporters, hosting a watch party instead.

7. WHEN ARE THEY FINALLY GOING TO HAVE THE IOWA CAUCUS????????
February 3

Sunday, November 3, 2019

Blog Post 2.1: Impeachment

1.  After the impeachment process, how did Clinton's relationship with the public and his party change?
Clinton's approval ratings were high and his party supported him. 

2. What are differences between the investigations that led to the Clinton impeachment and the potential Trump impeachment?
The case against Clinton was based on the findings in Starr's report while today's Democrats are building a case against the president in real time rather than orienting their inquiry around the findings in special counsel Mueller's report.

3. What trends in public opinion about impeachment occurred in the lead up to the formal announcement of impeachment by the House against President Clinton?
There was never a majority in favor of impeachment. 

4. What was the effect of the impeachment on the 1998 midterm elections for the Republicans?
The Republicans lost seats in the midterm.

5. How did Democrats vote about the impeachment inquiry compared to how they voted to actually impeach President Clinton?
Some Democrats supported the impeachment inquiry but few actually supported the impeachment.

6. How many Republicans in the Senate voted in support of President Clinton?
10 Republican senators voted in support of President Clinton.

7.  What lessons about the 1998 impeachment might Democrats consider when deciding whether or not to impeach President Trump?
The public might think the Democrat's true motivation is to hurt Trump, like in the 1998 impeachment. 

8. How are the investigations in the Clinton and Trump impeachments different?
The Democrats are doing their own investigation on Trump while the Republicans based their argument on a completed investigation.

9. How are the issues involved in the Clinton and Trump impeachments different?
Allegations against Clinton were personal and moral, while allegations against Trump are aligned to his power as a president.